AID18797 The daily COVID 19 cases (in hundred) for Delhi for past 2 week is summarize in the following table

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The daily COVID 19 cases (in hundred) for Delhi for past 2 week is summarize in the following table:
Day 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Cases 28 29 33 31 37 34 36 43 41 32 34 37 39 32
a. Using exponential smoothing method forecast the cases for 15 days, taking alpha as 0.3 and Initial forecast is the average of all data. (5 Marks)
b. Using linear trend analysis, find the trend line for number of COVID 19 cases in Delhi and forecast for next 3 days. Also compute the Mean Square Error. (5 Marks)

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